Polymarket

Who will win the 2026 World Cup?

Outright title odds for all 48 teams, win probability with American and decimal prices, served live from Polymarket and refreshed throughout the tournament.

Polymarket, Trade the World Cup on Polymarket

Team	Group	Win %	American	Decimal	Market
1France	I	16.5%	+506	6.06	Trade ↗
2Spain	H	16%	+525	6.25	Trade ↗
3England	L	11.5%	+770	8.70	Trade ↗
4Portugal	K	9.4%	+964	10.64	Trade ↗
5Argentina	J	8.9%	+1024	11.24	Trade ↗
6Brazil	C	8.4%	+1090	11.90	Trade ↗
7Germany	E	5.4%	+1752	18.52	Trade ↗
8Netherlands	F	4%	+2400	25.00	Trade ↗
9Norway	I	2.6%	+3746	38.46	Trade ↗
10Belgium	G	2%	+4900	50.00	Trade ↗
11Japan	F	1.9%	+5163	52.63	Trade ↗
12Colombia	K	1.8%	+5456	55.56	Trade ↗
13Morocco	C	1.6%	+6150	62.50	Trade ↗
14Mexico	A	1.3%	+7592	76.92	Trade ↗
15Turkey	D	1.3%	+7592	76.92	Trade ↗
16United States	D	1.2%	+8233	83.33	Trade ↗
17Uruguay	H	1.2%	+8233	83.33	Trade ↗
18Switzerland	B	1%	+9900	100.00	Trade ↗
19Croatia	L	0.9%	+11011	111.11	Trade ↗
20Ecuador	E	0.9%	+11011	111.11	Trade ↗
21Senegal	I	0.7%	+14186	142.86	Trade ↗
22Austria	J	0.6%	+16567	166.67	Trade ↗
23Sweden	F	0.6%	+16567	166.67	Trade ↗
24Ivory Coast	E	0.5%	+19900	200.00	Trade ↗
25Canada	B	0.4%	+24900	250.00	Trade ↗
26South Korea	A	0.3%	+33233	333.33	Trade ↗
27Paraguay	D	0.3%	+33233	333.33	Trade ↗
28Czech Republic	A	0.3%	+33233	333.33	Trade ↗
29Scotland	C	0.3%	+33233	333.33	Trade ↗
30Bosnia and Herzegovina	B	0.3%	+33233	333.33	Trade ↗
31Ghana	L	0.3%	+33233	333.33	Trade ↗
32Iran	G	0.2%	+49900	500.00	Trade ↗
33Australia	D	0.2%	+49900	500.00	Trade ↗
34Algeria	J	0.2%	+49900	500.00	Trade ↗
35Egypt	G	0.2%	+49900	500.00	Trade ↗
36Panama	L	0.1%	+99900	1000.00	Trade ↗
37Tunisia	F	0.1%	+99900	1000.00	Trade ↗
38DR Congo	K	0.1%	+99900	1000.00	Trade ↗
39Uzbekistan	K	0.1%	+99900	1000.00	Trade ↗
40Qatar	B	0.1%	+99900	1000.00	Trade ↗
41Iraq	I	0.1%	+99900	1000.00	Trade ↗
42South Africa	A	0.1%	+99900	1000.00	Trade ↗
43Saudi Arabia	H	0.1%	+99900	1000.00	Trade ↗
44Jordan	J	0.1%	+99900	1000.00	Trade ↗
45Cape Verde	H	0.1%	+99900	1000.00	Trade ↗
46Curaçao	E	0.1%	+99900	1000.00	Trade ↗
47Haiti	C	0.1%	+99900	1000.00	Trade ↗
48New Zealand	G	0.1%	+99900	1000.00	Trade ↗